Adam Probolsky on Polling and Partisan Identification

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Trey talks with Adam Probolsky, President of Probolsky Research, a full service opinion research firm specializing in market research and opinion research on elections and public policy, working on behalf of business, government, non-profit, special interest and media clients.

Trey and Adam’s conversation includes:

  • A conversation on political and public policy research.
  • Adam’s overview of quantitative data and polling.
  • How qualitative measures can help create better polling data.
  • Probolsky research on political identification and predicting voting behavior.

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

Abortion Leak, Intelligence Leak, Puerto Rico, JD Vance, Shurtleff

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Trey and Ken open the show with a two-pronged discussion of the leaked Alito opinion overturning Roe v Wade. First the pair discuss the opinion itself, the location of the right to privacy, and, ultimately, the legal obligations states can (or should) impose based on the question of what constitutes life. Second, the pair discuss the implications of the leak and who may be the source of the leak.

After that, they turn to another leak: the intelligence community leak in the New York Times suggesting that the U.S. was helping Ukrainian forces target Russian generals. 

Then they turn to the recently decided U.S. v Valero Madero concerning the applicability of the 5th Amendment to Puerto Rico and other U.S. territories. To what extent should the Constitution apply to territories and what are the larger effects of having it apply more uniformly?

Then they turn to the Republican primaries in Ohio and Indiana. The question here is what the data says Trump’s seal of approval means for candidates? How do MAGA candidates fair in the primaries compared to the more mainstream conservatives or if MAGA is the mainstream for the Republican Party.

They close the show by briefly discussing the case of Shurtleff v. City of Boston and why a straightforward case made its way to the U.S. Supreme Court.

Ken’s Recommendation
Bernie

Trey’s Recommendations
The Everything Store

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

Paul Brandus on Presidential Communication in the Biden and Trump Administrations

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Trey talks with Paul Brandus, independent member of the White House press corps and founder of West Wing Reports (@WestWingReport), columnist, and author of books including Under This Roof and This Day in Presidential History.

Trey and Paul’s conversation includes:

  • Paul’s assessment of former President Donald Trump’s communication strategy
  • Paul’s thoughts on President Biden’s communication strengths and weaknesses
  • Discussion of what makes a better presidential communication strategy
  • The effect of social media on presidential communication

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

Disney & Florida GOP, Musk & Twitter, Russia & Ukraine, Title 42

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Mike, Jay, and Trey open the show with an extended discussion of Florida’s “Don’t Say Gay” law, Disney’s response to it, and Florida’s state government retaliation. They get into what the law actually says, whether Disney was violating unwritten rules of lobbying by coming out against the law after it had passed, if the state was right to retaliate against Disney for doing so, and if Florida’s retaliation might be an unconstitutional restriction of speech.

After that, the Guys consider Elon Musk’s purchase of Twitter, discussing how big of a deal it is, who it’s likely to help and hurt, and whether or not Twitter unfairly censors conservative voices.

Then they turn to the latest in Russia’s war against Ukraine, including Russia cutting off gas supplies to Poland & Bulgaria, Russia’s increasing comments about a nuclear option, Biden’s latest Ukraine funding request, the resolve of the West to hold out in a long conflict, and whether or not it’s justifiable to liquidate the assets of Russian oligarchs and use them to provide funds for Ukraine.

They close the episode with a discussion of the Title 42 program of migrant expulsion, and whether a federal district court judge’s halt of the phase out of the program is justified, whether the program will be forced to continue, and what a better solution might look like.

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

McCarthy’s Lie, Mask Mandate, DeSantis vs. Disney, Russia & Ukraine, Tax Day, 4/20

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Mike & Jay open the show with a discussion of House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy being caught in a lie about recommending that Trump resign, Trump’s reaction, and what this might tell us about Trump and Trumpism in the GOP of 2022.

Next is a look at the ruling that ended the federal mask mandate. Mike and Jay get into administrative power, judicial deference to agency decisions, a Congress that may have good political reasons to not legislate, and more.

Following an update and discussion on the current state of Russia’s war against Ukraine, they turn back to domestic politics – lax enforcement of tax policy and IRS funding, followed by the current state and future of marijuana laws.

Jay’s Recommendation
A Spy Among Friends: Kim Philby and the Great Betrayal. Ben Macintyre

Mike’s Recommendations
Louis Prima & Hoopla

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

Jennifer Sciubba on How Sex, Death, and Migration Shape Our World

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Northern Kentucky University political scientist Kimberly Weir talks with Jennifer Sciubba, political scientist at Rhodes College and author of the recently released 8 Billion and Counting: How Sex, Death, & Migration Shape our World.

Topics Kimberly & Jennifer discuss include:

  • Why people don’t think about demography when considering politics
  • Global fertility, mortality, and migration patterns
  • Why demographics isn’t destiny
  • How power transition theory explains Russia’s recent invasion of Ukraine
  • China’s aging and shrinking population challenges
  • Why we don’t see ‘Gray Pride’ T-shirts, but should
  • Why HALE matters more than life expectancy
  • Demographic engineering as a political strategy
  • Why the future is much more optimistic than the sensationalist ‘doom and gloom’ reports

Jennifer Scuibba on Twitter

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

Brooklyn Shooting, New NATO Members, Oklahoma Abortion Ban, Tax Policy, Pakistani Espionage?

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Trey & Ken open the show with a discussion of Frank James arrest. Big topics include the nature of his arrest, discussion of crime trends in the U.S., the role of weapons in crime trends, and the political ramification of those trends.

That’s followed by Oklahoma’s newly passed abortion ban. The ban, which has no exceptions, was followed by Kentucky’s. Trey & Ken discuss the future of privacy and abortion in the U.S. and the problems facing lawmakers in addressing in and what the Supreme Court is likely to do next.

After that Trey & Ken talk about the reaction from Russia from Finland and Sweden considering NATO membership. The likelihood of the Senate to make such a treaty change, plus conversations about the most recent sinking of a ship in the Black Sea.

Then the pair talk about America’s tax policy, why it isn’t as progressive as it seems, and why Trey doesn’t think liberals get it. Last the pair discuss the humorous possibility of espionage in Washington DC.

Trey & Ken’s Recommendations

Trey: Severance on Apple TV+

Ken: Candy House by Jennifer Egan.

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

Larry Jacobs on Democracy Under Fire

Trey talks with Larry Jacobs, founder and director of the Center for the Study of Politics and Governance (CSPG) and holder of the Walter F. and Joan Mondale Chair for Political Studies at the University of Minnesota’s Humphrey School of Public Affairs on his latest book Democracy Under Fire: Donald Trump and the Breaking of American History.

Topics Trey & Larry discuss include:

– The history of primaries in the United States

– How political primaries harm democracies

– The need for political elites

– The problem with Trump and Bernie and primaries

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

Jackson Confirmation, Russian War Crimes, Amazon Union, Title 42, GOP Insurrectionists

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Mike & Jay open the show with a discussion of the Supreme Court confirmation vote for Ketanji Brown Jackson. They focus on Mitt Romney’s flip from “no” vote on Jackson’s confirmation to the DC Circuit last summer to his “yes” vote on Supreme Court confirmation. Jay agrees with Romney’s assessment of Jackson and feels that the default should be to approve qualified nominees of the president, but he also argues that there’s a principled case to be made against Jackson serving on the Court.

That’s followed by a look at of the latest developments in Russia’s war against Ukraine, including new sanctions, whether Russia’s actions amount to genocide, if anyone will ever be held to account for Russian war crimes, and if Russia is an Evil Empire.

After that, Mike & Jay get into a number of domestic policy issues, including the first ever Amazon union in the United States, the Biden administration’s move to end Title 42 immigration expulsions and why almost all Republicans as well as some Democrats oppose it, plans to disqualify certain Republicans from office on the grounds that they’re insurrectionists, as well as listener questions & comments.

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

Chris Brady on the Politics and Promise of Cryptocurrency

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | PocketCasts | Overcast | Stitcher | RSS

Mike talks with Chris Brady, a New York Times bestselling author, speaker, humorist, and businessman. His latest book is The Bitcoin Bride: A Rascal Money Story.

Topics Mike & Chris discuss include:
– what cryptocurrency is and how it works
– Bitcoin as “freedom money”
– the inevitability of traditional currency losing value
– “Gold Bugs” and cryptocurrency
– President Biden’s recent Executive Order on cryptocurrency
– whether the cryptocurrency needs more regulation
– if Russia can use cryptocurrency to evade sanctions
– Friedrich Hayek and the philosophical underpinnings of cryptocurrency
– the future of cryptocurrency

The Politics Guys on Facebook | Twitter

Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. You can support us or change your level of support at patreon.com/politicsguys or politicsguys.com/support. On Venmo, we’re @PoliticsGuys.

Interested in starting your own podcast? Check out RedCircle, home of The Politics Guys.

Powered by RedCircle

 

%d bloggers like this: